Saturday, July 4, 2020

Indo-China War... Imminent...???

The Indian Pm's visit to Laddakh this morning has put the ball in motion, making it for China to now decide whether it wants a war. It is one of the most shrewd move made by NaMo, when he visited the forward post in Eastern Laddakh and gave a roar of victory to Indian Jawans. Chinese were perhaps and are not perhaps prepared for this type of response from a neighbour, with whom it has border dispute. It has been a practice that Chinese would encroach upon the Indian land and the Indian Govt and the Indian military would wait with folded hands, requesting them to go back to barracks. Which they would do after satisfying their ego. This habit was developed during the INC rule. Most of the time Indian military was focused heavily on Pakistan and not China. 

India, under INC and Gandhi family rule, always backtracked considering any reaction from Indian side would get escalated on the border and war could break out with the Chinese. Since they are far more superior, they can easily defeat Indians. But the perception has changed after 2014. A new confident military has been developing under the new regime in India and that the that is being reflected at the border.

Meaning of the visit at Laddakh today, has deeper meaning. India has finally asked China to act. Either have war, or just pull-back. Ball is in the court of China. India has shown its readiness for war as well as peace. What happens, if the war really breaks out...?
Does it spill over into a Nuke-war? Or Third world-war? Or something sinister, than that.
First of all the war doesn't seem to break out. It is just a game of nerves. Who looses it first? With the visit to Laddakh, India has passed the buck to China, let us see how it responds.

Secondly, if it does, then the war would be limited to Eastern Laddakh region and could spread to Arunachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand etc. And it should be taken care that this time India forces gets into the Chinese territory, deep inside and use that as bargain chip, for Gilgit Baltistan, and Aksai Chin areas. 

The agressive Indian troops are just waiting for the attack and kill more and more Chinese soldiers, to avange 1962. Though we may have had it in 1967, but loss of territorial rights has been a scar on minds of every Indian. This time around, any weaker Chinese Army, could invite Nukes, and the world would get involved into the war.
US,JAPAN, Australia, Israel, are all with India. Russians could play a very important role, but it will largely remain neutral, as they do not like to play a role of younger brother to China and also not want to be seen as friend ditching another in the time of need. Though it would need Chinese investments, but they will also want their standing not hit as a friend ditching a close ally.

USA, always keen to support India could also involve militarily in the war theater and may be NATO also gets involved into it to a limited extent. The most important will be Pakistan. If it gets involved, my take is that POK and Baluchistan will be free from clutches of Pakistan, in the years to come. Pakistan may be restrained by Russia, Afghanistan and even USA, to desist from the conflict and with warning that Indians could inflict a damage beyond its comprehension. But a war in this eastern Laddakh theater, could change so many things forever. The psych of Chinese would get a big hit and perhaps that the China may see some internal disturbances, as well. What India will need to do is to stick around for little longer. The longer India sticks around, more damage can be inflicted on China, economically, militarily and psychologically.

Friday, July 3, 2020

WHAT HAPPENS AFTER COVID-19 PENDEMIC

The world at the present is busy fighting out the Corona virus and every nation on the earth is hit by this pandemic. The people of the world are at the moment concerned that somehow they shouldn't become the target of the the COVID-19. 

Many conspiracy theories are doing round at the moment and there will be few more that will come in the coming few weeks as the threat get real, deeper and darker. The hard hit Europe and USA, is not only surprising but it takes the leaf out and confirms that there is something that matches the claims that the conspiracy was always there.

There are many experts are doing rounds by writing tonnes of material on conspiracy and singling out China. But what we need to work on is the scenario which could develop after the pandemic subsides. The situation seems to be getting worse, with the USA, showing desperation about the its economy and its might, should not get affected and has not locked itself down. But that will be very dangerous situation for the people of America, as it has been proved so far that, the death ratio has been on the rise for the people of this country and its rising, with the President Trump risking his second term, in November 2020 elections.

So the focus of the world will shift to shoring up its economies once the pandemic subsides. Presently the sole super power of the world, has been brutally challenged by the Chinese economic behemoth. The industries in China have started to function normally and they have started to supply goods and other requirement to the world over. Their marvelous production capacity is always point of jealousy for the world.

Such developments, like export of masks and other PPEs from China to Europe and even USA would definitely boost up its economy as the nations are fighting for the lives of its citizens and would import everything that is ready with Chinese Govt. and the market. This is perhaps the most bizarre but a fact that, Chinese companies would be making huge profits on the deaths of thousand of Americans and Europeans. That is one of the tragedy of this pandemic.

No country of the world is going to forgive China on this.