Inflation...Price Rise...Nuclear Deal...Threat...Elections etc., etc.

The said inflation index of 11.75% is much more in reality. We all know that it might have touched 25% also. Since the index shows only few commodities which the Govt feels should be on the list, meaning there is an enough scope for manipulation in the inflation & its rates.

The Govt is running out of time and hence the Nuclear deal is tasking center stage at the moment. Slowly & steadily Govt is moving in the direction where from there will be no return on the deal by the Congress led coalition Govt. and which would be the reason for the LEFT to back out in their proclaimed outside support.

The people will forget inflation, price rise, oil prices...........

.........the raw deal farmers received at the hands of Agricultural Ministry led by Mr. Pawar and committed suicides even after he declared whopping Rs.72,000 crores,

.........the common man will forget the effects of the forward trading in grain, pulses and other edible items, which led to tremendous price rise of more than 100% in some of the pulses & grains through out 2005-06-07,

........all those middle level executives & newly emerging higher middle class whose perks came under scanner by the Finance Minister Mr. Chidambaram by introducing FRINGE BENEFIT TAX & hugely complicating Income Tax proceedings, which now has made compulsory to take service of a Chartered Accountant a MUST,

.......the rate of Service Tax reaching 12.24% from mere 4% when the BJP was voted out of power,

ETC., ETC.,........

Because their media managers will see that all the news papers, all the news channels and everywhere, it will be collapse of the UPA Govt. due to signing of Nuclear deal and blame will be set on the LEFT. People will immerse itself into the new drama unleashed by the party in power and will easily forget the people who killed their confidence and stabbed in the back, Everybody in this country is fooled by this Govt on some or the other plank.

I really wonder what are the achievements of this Govt. led by Manmohan Singh (?) One fails to understand that these people in the politics are so cheap and dumb that they even don't understand that their cheap acts of commission & omission are being watched by the poor and hapless Indians. He knows what is going on.

He understands that LEFT has no love for Indian nation, it is more closer to China, who in turn behaves as if they don't know these leftists. Some times people in India really wonder what they have in their mind and their loyalty to this Indian nation always in question. Indian national interest in no where visible. When the entire country has resigned its fate for accepting the Nuclear Deal, though there are other viable solutions to energy problems, LEFT are so stubborn in their stand that at times I feel that USA should also give something to LEFT for their election funds. ( One might ask, am I telling that Indians are bribed by USA for the deal ? well you can answer it yourself. despite there being present so many other solutions for our energy crisis UPA Govt wants Nuclear energy only. It has fought 3 years defending a deal with USA !!)

It is really depressing that these political leaders are failing to understand that they are better understood than they understand themselves. People have clear inkling what they are up to and what they will do next.

It is so depressing that Finance Minister of this large nation, asks for relief from oil producing nations. He wants them to increase the production, while he is just sitting tight and watching. Mr. Chidambarm is waiting for OPEC countries for the woes of Indians to be sorted out, what a great Finance Minister we have found. He has yet to prove his cleverness to the Indian masses, which he might have already proved to FIIs and other foreign investors. (Perhaps he is more interested in doing that instead the nation.)

What I feel is that Mr. F.M. has proved to be clever in finding out new and very complicated ways in which he can tax Indians. The funny thing is that Indians come to know about tax provision much after it really comes into existence. (Don't forget he is foreign returned FM, hence he is less likely to understand Indian masses.)

Agreed that the prices of oil are global phenomena, but what about the inflation, which was rising slowly and steadily, much before the oil prices crisis began this January 2008. You can't blame that inflation is due to higher prices of oil only. You have so many other ways to control them. I am not convinced that there are not many ways to control inflation.


This means that Govt now with the help of Samajwadi Party of Mulayam Singh Yadav is trying hard to save the Govt., because it is not ready at the moment for the fresh election. Therefore election preparation will take some time. Besides, Govt hopes to bring the rate of inflation down to say 7% or 8%. So it wants to buy time.

But the deal with the USA must be given direction before the mid-July. The USA is waiting for the reaction from India. They will not take the lapsing of agreement that lightly. So the Govt needs to take the balancing actions where it will save the Govt and the deal is made through. But since the adamant left, will not allow the deal to go through, Govt will have to look for the other partner to allow this Govt to survive.

But what worries the common man is the rising prices, rising rate of inflation and value of his investments plummeting relentlessly. He needs answers to his problems created due to complicated tax structure put in force. he is more worried about the continuous falling value of rupee in the international financial standings. It is a worrying factor that international agencies are lowering the credit ratings for the Indian financial markets and lowering of anticipated growth rate.

There are few suggestions by a common man like me, who think F.M. must look into these steps and if he cannot adopt these measures as they are suggested, but at least they can take the cue from the same.

I would suggest the duty cuts, first. There has been tremendous duty being levied on the oil. Cutting duty will result in lowering of prices of oil and to some extent inflation could go down. Such duty cuts needs to be compensated by slapping heavy tax on cars, SUVs, etc., which actually drink oil when run, duty cuts be given to small cars which are going to be exported and not manufactured & sold in India. Cars must be sold to those who do not have any single car. in his name. Additional car must fetch heavy tax on the second ownership of the car. CBDs like Nariman Point or Kurla Bandra complex in Mumbai, must not allow the private car with one passenger in side it, encouraging car-pooling.

Most importantly, with Tata's Nano on the horizon, a new car owner must provide the proof that he is owning a parking space in his building, society etc., Such acts will reduce the demand for cars, consequently reducing the consumption of the oil and at the same time will not hurt the Govt coffers and will cause the traffic problems to come down.

Why can our MPs can't let go their perks and salaries. There needs to be a complete halt to the Development Fund of Rs.5 Cr. being awarded to each and every MP every year. Everybody in this country, except our Hon'ble MPs, know where that fund goes and who are being developed with that fund.

It is far more advisable to stay away from taking up any huge developmental projects, for the time being, as such projects will create more demand for already strained resources. Besides it will add up to the funds in the hands of the people creating more demand and pushing up price index as well as the inflation.

It is important that Govt reduces all expenses which are non-productive and can be avoided. Foreign tours of all Ministers be restricted to 2 to 3 of their tenure, except for PM & core ministers.

Making the Govt functions paperless by consuming only the required papers, this will save fast depleting forests and cut in the operating costs of the Govt.

There is scope for halt on the permit being issued for public transport to auto rickshaws and taxi es, as they are adding up to fuel consumption as well as rise in traffic in tremendous way.
By doing this people will be forced to use public transportation like buses and trains.

On the agricultural fronts, we need to control growing sugarcane for making fuel. But such growing of grains used for bio-diesel must be on newly discovered land not the land where the food was being grown up so far.

These enumerated ideas will reduce inflation and price rise to an extent.

BUT ABOVE ALL WE CAN DO ONE THING IS AND THAT IS TO REDUCE OUR OWN CONSUMPTION. IF WE CONSUME LESS AND WHAT IS REQUIRED, THE DEMAND FOR THESE PRODUCTS WILL GO DOWN. WE HAVE TO BE CAREFUL NOT TO SPEND ON ANY UNWANTED ITEMS AND SERVICES.

THESE MEASURES ALONG WITH MANY OTHER MEASURES WE CAN CONTROL OUR EXPENSES AND BY THAT CONTRIBUTING IN LOWERING THE INFLATION RATES TO LITTLE BIT MORE, THOUGH IT MIGHT BE NEGLIGIBLE BY MEANS OF SIZE OF THE COUNTRY LIKE INDIA

This Nuclear Deal With USA

This is one of the issue on which Mr. P.M. is under tremendous pressure. Though he has had dared Left front once to withdraw support, but nothing more than that. The 123 Agreement was singed by the Indian Govt. & Bush Administration in June 2005. But since then the Govt has been facing bricks & bats for this. It is something which is very weird that Indian Democratic set up does not allow the public opinion to be taken into consideration while entering into any international agreements, unlike USA. The Indians have to accept what their Govt is doing and treading once they have voted the party to the power.

It is rightly felt that the political parties do not want interference from the public opinion, once elected to power and that is one of the major reason that democracy has not gone down well. There are many loopholes that need to be rectified.

Coming back to the Nuclear deal between USA and India, the Left is wrong because it has only two point agenda of opposing and it must do every trick in the book to stop USA from coming closer to India. It might have few good experts who might have studied the deal itself, and perhaps they are also convinced that the deal is good for India, since they have not mentioned their opposition to any technical aspect of the deal. But the only point of opposition to the deal for the Left is, it is with USA.

But I think we should not trust these Left people who are dependent for all of their ideology on China. Even the Chinese themselves are confused about what they should call themselves, communists or capitalist- communists. But these Left front people are short of their vision and ideas in the changed environment. They are lost as the Chinese ideology of communist policies where the State is supreme and looks after the equal distribution of wealth amongst its nationals. The reality is something different.

Coming back to deal, the Indian Govt is equally culprit in the entire deal. It had to clarify under rising pressure that India has freedom to experiment with the nuclear explosions/implosions. While the USA has refused to say so publicly, may it has its own political limitations. There are so many arguments in favour and against the deal.

One of such information caught my eyes was, the Planning Commission, predicted that India with the help of this deal, if at all, generates power, it will be just 5% of the total needs that could arise by 2050. But then what about the 95% ? May be the figures ought to be manipulated, but then it was clear that the deal will not be able to fulfill Indian energy needs completely and some other source of energy will have to be analysed, too.

Besides, the deal will make the doors open for the power plant and related material making corporates as they will have business of thousands of crores of rupees. Now that is another point that India will import the Uranium, required for power plants as fuel, will completely imported from Nuclear Material Suppliers Group, which follows US dictum, it could take another minimum of 5 years to build those power plants that also after the deal is signed. (Energy requirements might have been taken into consideration this aspect also.)


So with the deal, we will have imported plants for our energy requirements, we have imported fuel to run the imported nuclear power plants and we also have a infinitely anxious supply of Uranium for these imported power plants, lest it could stop in course of exercising our sovereign right to do so. (Like exploding/ imploding, some nuclear device).

This sounds ridiculous. The top experts of this nation might have had considered everything from top to bottom. But the Indian Govt will have to address these issues before it goes for signing. The entire West is interested in India signing the deal with the USA. As they could not force India to sign the CTBT or NPT. By this deal is India entering into a deal with USA, as it might have had entered into the deal with these two world treaties !!! Perhaps these aspects should not be undermined by the Indian Govt while signing the deal with USA.

Considering these facts, the deal is going to be little more costlier than it is considered it as of now, not only money wise, but in all its aspects, nuclear energy is not free from its inherent dangers. India perhaps has no policy to dump the nuclear waste, the place which is highly intoxicating and very dangerous and even the West has no proper solutions to it.

There is one more aspect to it. It is utilizing the Fast Breeder Reactors which run on Thorium. Thorium is found in aplenty in Kerala and other south Indian States. It is beyond my comprehension that why the Govt. or the experts who are ready to spend billions of rupees on imported power plants are no willing to spend on enhancing the technology in this area. We have already few reactors working on it. But the people argue that it is not viable for India at the moment as it will require huge investments and the results are unpredictable and returns uncertain.

I think the solution lies in non-conventional means of energy. Like Sun, Sea waves, wind farms. Which are less expensive and not dangerous at all. We have always thought of large farm where photocells are installed when we talk of solar energy. But why small societies of Mumbai are not encouraged to install some cell over their terrace, so that they at least generate power for their elevators and passage lights. Think if all the buildings of the world install a small windmill or solar panel, who generate power for their requirements, we could generate good amount of power, which not require installation of power lines and other infrastructural costs.

All the big problems needs to be divided into number of smaller solutions. Govt in India needs to encourage the local bodies to give encouragements to such societies & buildings, which if installed will reduce the demand of electricity to some extent. Reducing demand is producing extra electricity !

May be some initiation is required. Deal is a big thing to comprehend, but this small idea is easy to understand and digest.

Future Scenario

The present situation in the world is being blamed to economic development of India & China by some of the developed countries. President Bush and Secretary Ms. Rice have openly said so. Consumption of Oil by these two economies no where near the consumption of United States of America and Europe. But these facts will be refuted by the developed nations. It is always the blame game. This is perhaps the gap between developed and under developed world.

The situation in the world is going to get bad and deteriorate further with every passing day. Everybody is witnessing this happening. The oil prices will zoom further, which will lead to more and more money going towards the Middle East and they becoming richer and richer. The M.E. countries now have more choices than they had in 1970s & 1980s for investments. The money will come back as Petro Dollars.

These Petro Dollars were invested in US economy in the last century, but now the returns are more attractive, if invested in India & China. Hence the increased consumption in USA and Europe, will bring more dollars to India & China. Here India & China have some competitors coming up in form of Brazil & Russia.

Considering these facts, is this the beginning of an end to US super power status. It will depend upon how the new Administration handles the new situation. It is very important that the US and all other Governments think over this aspect. It is in their interest that they control the speculation in oil. They are making money at the moment, but they will have to pay higher prices to middle east, who might not be as interested as before to invest in USA, as they might did in the previous century. This is perhaps the drain of their wealth to middle east and sort of redistribution of wealth to other parts of the world.

What is said is a long term positive scenario. USA and its allies might not allow this to happen as scripted above and they might go in for a unnecessary war. They entered into a conflict with the Iraq and then wanted all other nations to be part of its obnoxious campaign to contain Saddam Hussein, which most of the people in the world see as personal vendetta between Former President George Bush and Saddam Hussein.

This time it could be Iran. US is deeply embroiled in Iraq. It can neither swallow nor vomit, sort situation in Iraq. Perhaps the same fear of reprisals as it is facing in Afghanistan & Iraq, it has stayed away from Iran. Perhaps it is wise to not to open another front for its defense forces.

With respect to India, despite some of the studies are showing that the Outsourcing to India has worked in favour of the US companies and they have become richer, let it be that way. The Americans are enemies of themselves only. With Jobs shifting to India & China might have played some role in the sub prime crisis in American economy. It is ridiculous and beyond my understanding of the situation, where in corporates in America are becoming richer by reducing the cost of the product with outsourcing, their native Americans are becoming insolvent due to loss of their jobs.

The banks & other investment houses are taking the burns.

Again this is redistribution of wealth. If the intent is not honest, you will though succeed, but you have to pay with all that you have. This what I have learned over the years.

Alien Logic

Continued........

With that presumption, it seemed likely that they must had fought wars, had seen the death of their beloved people on their planet, must have gone through the deceases etc., etc. Of course they might not have suffered all these trauma also, but this is I am just presuming in mind. All these experiences might have made them matured enough to face the earthlings millions of years before.

It is quite likely that in their advanced technological world they might have had all the material things which we enjoy today. Just imagine where we go from here? We are turning ourselves into something where in we are reducing our burdens with the help of technology. What happens a a two to three centuries after today. It might be possible with all the advancement in he technological development, man might finally get convinced that the mind of a man is far superior that the super computers it has been building for centuries and might Evan find the way to control the mind.

The mind power can be tapped and used for all the purposes which we are using gadgets today. Such advancement is possible and a day would come when human being might be concentrating only on controlling his mind. Because if he does that he will not require any gadgets which he is using today.

Now imagine that, those aliens were having this capacity when they reached earth when the stone age was going on. I like to imagine further by assuming that with this higher mental strength, they might have solved the problems of primitive earthlings. May be this had led the poor earthlings to believe that they were GOD.

Now imagine, there are hundred of Gods & Goddesses in Indian mythology, there is stories to all those and all are presumed to have Devinne powers. I always wondered the source of their power as well as how they achieved it.

The question here is, are our Gods, were actually aliens ? Logically speaking this is possible. Some of you might disagree and they have all rights to do so, but what I am trying to say that just imagine for a moment that what is said is possible logically.

So where they all have gone now?

Is is quite likely that they were part of the nature, means those who born, perish. It is possible that those powerful aliens might have perished with passage of time. Remember, the Super man story, where he was the only person saved from that planet, which was gulped by the nearing star which was dieing. This could be applied to these aliens. Their planet might have been destroyed due to natural or they might have fought a war, which destroyed their planet. Something or anything of that sort.

It is likely that they are still on the earth and are actually fuelling new and new inventions through scientists. I am not putting a doubt on ability of our scientists, what I am trying to say is, with their extra ordinary power they are asking those scientists through the mental waves and connectivity to do something. (It is like you are receiving transmission but do not know the source of such transmission.) I means the ideas to these scientists may have been planted in their mind by powerful mind waves. (Good idea to start a sci-fi).

But there was something which visited earth and they were more powerful than actual inhabitants. They are perhaps visiting us even today. But so far they have not hurt any of us. With power they might have with them due to technological advancement, they could have destroyed us more than once. But they are silent. Are they watching us ? Perhaps. If they are believed to be Gods then perhaps they are asking us to maintain calm, since they presumably knew what the destruction would be like.

I might have touched some very emotional issues where in one could have been hurt by writing on this subject. I have just put up what I feel and what I have imagined backed by some logic. I regret if any one is hurt. It is not intended for hurting anyone.

Alien Logic

Two Japanese astronomers sent an email to some distant planet about 16 Light Years away from the earth. It means that email which was sent in 1983, must have reached that planet, in 1999 and if on the same day the aliens replied, will reach earth in 2015. We have to wait patiently for another seven years.

There are so may ifs buts. Like if the aliens were to be very primitive when they do receive the email, how they will ever send a reply or if they are highly advanced then instead of replying email, they could reach earth of their own to conquer the earth as they were imagined in English super hit film Independence Day or what happens if they are not be able to decode the contents, which are in binary form.

Such news does create curiosity in mind and one wonders, what happens if the world really meets few aliens. This is a very interesting subject. There have been claims now and then, about the encounter with the aliens. There have been hundreds, if not thousands, claims about the same. Some of them are really worth considering and they were so strong in their presence that all the excuses refuting their presence got a clear thumbs down. Meaning there was something fishy and perhaps the aliens wanted to prove their presence.

There are so many intriguing issues on aliens and their presence, but what is fascinating, is the imagination that if they are real. It was sometime that I was beginning to enjoy the imagination in which the aliens were present. It was one fine morning when I was reading news paper, in which I read the item which described a discovery of a cave in some South American country. The cave had many drawings on the wall of the cave carried out during the stone age. As the drawing was of carving on the stones.

Of these drawings there were few drawings in which men had suits, some sort of space ship besides those men, they had some helmet like device on their hand, drawings showed that the space ship absolved in space after taking these men inside that spaceship like object.

This little news item gave boost to my thoughts and imagination. Since then I have talking to myself about the logic of having those aliens like people on the earth. After much thinking absolutely logically, I feel that those aliens had some powers which human race did not had at that time. Hence the people feared them. Presuming that they were highly intelligent, they did not hurt all people on the earth.

Perhaps they had powers which the ordinary earthling could never could imagined. Since they could easily come to earth, they were far more superior in technology, so was their intelligence quotient. Which asked them to stay cool and maintain peace. They might have had travelled from very very far.

Considering the present situation where we have not yet been able to establish any contact with any other civilizations and we just send an email which is 16 light years away. A two way journey for the email will take 32 Light years. (One Light year = a ray of light passes by in a year at a speed of 3,00,000 km/per second).

Those aliens must have travelled to earth from far far away. It may be possible that what those stone age people could have seen was just their image, beamed to earth from somewhere else in the universe.

Given the technological superiority of those said aliens, in drawings of the stone age men, as found in the South American caves, those aliens could have been equally clever and very well developed in their thoughts, behavior and philosophy of art of living

To Be Continued

Gujarat & Karnatak Similarities

The latest election results in Karnatak proves the BJP theory of not interfering with the local issues. By allowing the State elections to remain local, they have ensured their victories. Gujarat was perhaps their role model.

The Congress party is perhaps the most undemocratic party, boasting itself to be penchant supporter of democracy. Theirs is absolutely no inner party democracy. There is a practice of leaving the major decision on the party president at the last moment, suppressing the local aspirations and needs.

A small example should clear the difference between the two parties. In Maharashtra, Vilasrao Deshmukh was elected as CM after last state elections. In his one of the decision, he allowed demolition drive in Mumbai and Thane. Many illegal hutments and buildings were demolished. It was an irony that most of those demolished structures belonged to the people from North India, who had recently settled in Mumbai.

This triggered internal politics within congress. Subsequently order from High Command alias Sonia Gandhi stoped it. Internal feud in Shiv Sena got Raj Thakaray away from the Shiv Sena. Since he had no political base except that he was nephew of Bal Thakaray, raised local issues, which touched real chord for the local Marathi speaking people. They realized that North Indians are taking away their bread and butter and the central Govt is supporting this migrated people from North India.

Raj got an issue to launch himself and he used it in the best way. Just imagine, had such demolitions allowed on a local level the situation might not be utterly different but could have been slightly different. Marathi speaking people feel that the Madam from New Delhi is ruling them and they do not have freedom to rule the State as per the local issues having its different ramifications.

In Bihar Mr Modi was being opposed and some rebels were after him. BJP by going for secret ballots, have not only silenced those small number of rebels but have ensured that in future such events do not repeat. That's real democracy.

Learning from American way of democracy, Mr Obama and Mrs. Clinton had a great battle but at the end of the day both of them realized where they stand and Mrs. Clinton accepted her defeat. Now with peace of mind Mr. Obama will rule the White House if elected as President. He will not have problem within the Democrats once elected in the preliminaries and subsequent general elections.

Her in India, Mr. Deshmukh has a hanging sword on his head of Madam (Sonia Gandhi) convinced that revival of Congress in Maharashtra depends upon the removal of Mr. Deshmukh. And for that reason Mr. Deshmukh stays in In Delhi for few days in every fortnight. THAT'S NOT THE CASE WITH GUJARAT C.M. NARENDRA MODI. Because of this peace of mind he is working very nicely for the state of Gujarat.

What they have started due to their compulsion, BJP could reap rich dividends if they stick to real inner party democracy. Congress is far far far away from any democracy it is very close to hypocrisy.

OIL PRICES

The Oil prices all over the world will not come down for a time being. The prices of Oil are rising due to many factors. But one of the major factor which has been underscored by many and is no where mentioned and discussed is the FORWARD TRADING IN OIL STOCKS.

In this Trading big MNCs are investing and buying stocks at the hir eprices and there is no limit to this stock buying. The stocks are sold when the prices go up by this they square off and losses they might have incurred againt the purchasing of oil at higher prices. So once they buy oil stock (not actually storing oil) they will wait for the oil prices to go up and they fuel such an oil rise at any costs, as their stock prices will also rise and consequently they will make huge profits.

Hence they buty the stocks when the rpices are low, fuel the price rise and make profits. Many MNCs with top political links are involved in this scandle. They have nothing to loose. They do not have limited salaried income and home budget contraints. It is a speculation game, where they grab hard earned money from every earthlings all over the world.

The scenario where in this speculation game collapsing is not far away. Many economits are fearing a globle slow down. If this happens the oil prices could take a nosedive. Many MNCs could loose their fortunes. But again such loss will come on the head of normal earthlings like you and me, as you are expriencing the pinch of Sub-Prime issue. Oil prices collaps will see collapsing of major companies and economies of few countries in Middle east, potentially dangerous region in the world.

So, at the momet what we can do is just stay away from buying avaoidable goods, controlling our urge to buy goods which we can dispense with. This will help in reducing inflationary pressure at the moment, though very megre. Little slow down will put those speculative community in pressure and they will start squarring off their positions.

Another factor is OPEC. Which is a cartel created by the nations to fund their econimic growth. Nothing is right. Today Singapore suggested creation of cartel for rice. Tomorrow it will be something else by some other country. This is in retaliation to OPEC.

Plead to GOD that this does not end up in breaking out of regional wars and such wars do not end in starting a third world war.