Friday, September 26, 2008

KARL IS SMILING....!!!!!

Karl Marx who wrote the world famous book DAS KAPITAL, where in he had visualized a society in which everything would be owned by the Government of that country and such Government will work for the betterment of the society. He envisaged an ideal condition wherein all the people will be treated equally and there will be no classification of society based on economic class.

When the red army captured Moscow and then formation of Union Of Soviet Socialist Republic, his dream of a society having all people as its equal citizen started to materialize. But with Stalin in power, the first signs of the crack in the systems appeared. While taking over the land of millions of farmer under the plan to centralize the agriculture, many were brutally killed. That was the first sign of failure of Communism. The atrocities of KGB on innocent civilians that followed for decades just to achieve what Marx had envisaged on paper. The iron curtain was so feared that nobody dared to talk about the Government, their problems, their complains. Communism was to fail as it was not as per the aspiration of Karl Marx. It had become a utterly authoritarian government.

I remember I was very young when Mr. Gorbochev was elected as the Chairman of Communist Party of USSR. He was termed as one of the most progressive leaders in USSR at that time. He introduced GLASNOST, meaning openness and PERESTROIKA meaning reforms. The Soviets started to respond, fear about the Government started to come down. Gorbochev was seen mingling with workers of factory and discussing relevant issues with these workers.

The Soviet people felt a sigh of relief and hoped that the years of repression and exploitation by the Communist Party in the name of the rights of labourers and equal distribution of wealth for many decades. People had no basic facilities and no one was willing to work hard. Even if he was to work hard, he will get the same amount of remuneration as any other worker. This reduced their inclination to work.

Gorbochev was a very wise leader and he forced years of repression to end. But when this process was going on, people of Russia, thought that they had all the resources and the most powerful amongst the other Republican States, why should they share their prosperity with other States of USSR. That caused split of USSR forever.

The Communist ideology failed because it had reached a stage of no return and at a point where no correction either was possible or never ever thought of applying one on hand. Gorbochev did tried to do that, but resulted in the breaking up of a super power.

Gorbochev could have had used military force to keep the USSR together, but I wonder even he was not interested in the independent Russian State. Perhaps he liked what Boris Yeltsin did in Moscow rally when Yeltsin climbed up on a military tank and challenged USSR authority.

One can doubt that it was his support for breaking up of USSR in disguise, he could only himself answer this question. May be as other ordinary Russian he thought that other States of USSR, were burden on the Russian Economy, so he allowed Boris to even humiliate him in the Russian Parliament.

Communists were born out of the extreme exploitation by the capitalist ideology in other Western countries in late part of 19th Century and in the beginning of the 20th Century. History is full with the atrocities committed by the top industrialists in the western powers. Such an exploitation was necessary to sustain Industrial revolution. Industrial prosperity of developed countries is founded on blood and exploitation of their nationals. Though they are now acting as the guardians of Human Rights all over the world, is part of their hypocrisy, in which they are unbeatable.

Karl Marx, who wrote Das Kapital, sitting in the library of London, fuelled one of the greatest revolution across the Globe against the Capitalism. The communist ideology hated capitalism and for more than 80 years it fought a ideological war with the other Capitalist countries like USA, UK, Germany, France, etc.

But it collapsed as it was not acceptable to people of USSR. It had not considered the basic human nature of competition and aspiration to lead a better life. Communist ideology was just like a four side wall. Nothing can come in, nothing can go out. It failed to bring prosperity to all citizens, but instead it assured poorness to all of its citizens. This was common sight, except for the people who were close to power. They prospered unabashed. USSR collapsed because it had reached a stage of extreme exploitation in the name of interest of labour and utter hatred for Capitalism. It disregarded the basic human instincts to own property, a basic inclination to work and work harder.

Remembering Communism as inspired by Karl Marx was important in the light of recent collapse of pillars in wall street. The economic earth quake hit Lehman Brothers, Meryle Lynch and A.I.G., all of them were top Investment Banking multi nationals, brought tremors in the world markets and can have potential of hurting economies world over. The hit it has taken on the confidence of investors all over the world is worst than the 9/11 attack on WTC.

Investors has lost money which can not be imagined and the time it could take to bring back the confidence of gullible investors. This is the worst ever hit on the Capitalist form of economic arrangements and society after The Great depression of 1930. If one remembers those days, 9000 banks all over USA had gone bankrupt within 6 months. The crisis had its roots in the Share Market. People took the loan and invested in shares and in 1929 US treasury increased the lending rates, which triggered one of the biggest ever fall of market leading to major loan takers failing to pay back their loans and banks failing to honour their obligation for lack of liquidity, resulting in banks going bankrupt.

Here in this case it is sub-prime lending and loan takers have started to fail in repaying these loans, leading to all those financial institutions who directly or indirectly were involved in sub-prime lending. There may be many causes and the American experts will go deeper into it, but this issue was discussed long back with one friend, about the sub prime problem.

The Americans were not that alert in handling the scenario. The sub-prime happened due to many reasons and one of it was the job out sourcing to countries like India. The logic can be explained like this, that if the USA was allowing the jobs to be out sourced to other countries like India, Pakistan and even China, the purchasing power of the natives would get reduced and could result in the lesser buying, lesser demand and lesser production and lesser jobs . Whic h will fuel the bad loans as people do not have money to eat how they will think of paying back the loans they had purchased.

Increased loan repayment schedules, forced many to sell their homes, meaning more houses were put in the market for sale, while there were no or fewer buyers, this agonized the house onwers as they had paid more to buy these houses, they can not sell them as these houses would not fetch them the right price nor they can stay with it as they had no repaying potential , as he had competitors in form of Indians, Chinese, Sri Lankans etc., who took away their jobs for cheap. The multinationals had a practise to shift their jobs overseas for cheap and increase their profits. Here the intention was good as more profits will make these firms to invest more and create more jobs. This did happen but the jobs were created outside USA.

It was wondered that how this could have been allowed ! Was the economic interest and making profits was so important and above national interest that it was overlooked for such a long time. All the MNCs were busy making more profits by transferring jobs to India like countries .The Govts there supported this move of exporting jobs and also allowed tax concessions to these companies. The sub-primery crisis was going to happen.

Let me be very clear, that there may be many more complex reasons and explanations, this is all logical explanations and conclusions. You might do several complex calculations but the basic remains plus, minus multiply and division. Like wise USA may have the most complex financial structures, but the fact said above can not be refuted either.

Anyway, third world countries did benefit from this lapse on part of Bush Administration for sometime. But when the America is in danger, rest of world can not stay away from the US economic meltdown. All markets all over the world have shown down ward trend. All markets are collapsing. FIIs are pulling their money back from all the world markets and are booking profit, to hedge against the possible loss at home in sub-prime lendings.

In both above cases of Communism and Capitalism, extreme points in both the systems have failed. The President Bush is perhaps right in declaring a $ 700 Billion package for the Banks in USA, he is perhaps little late in taking corrective measures. He should have been quick enough to control out going jobs from Americans in the first place.

Congress has hesitated to approve such a package as it amounts to simply printing of fresh dollars and pumping the same into the American Economy, this could increase the inflation in US economy and could result in decrease in the value of dollar at international level, which could trigger the crude price upward and collapse the stock markets further. American nightmare will hurt all economies of the world. But above all Govt interference with the economy is against the capitalist practise. So it could hurt their ego. How they could go the USSR way of helping the economy with Govt interference when required. That is the real casue of concern for Congress.

It may happen other way round also that the money so pumped will boost the liquiidty with the American Banks, which could help them to tide over the liquididty crunch and they start fresh lending. Such lending could start a positive cycle of demand and supply and creation of new jobs and increased purchasing power in the Americans. The world markets could boom again.

Remember the economic systems, may it be Capitalism or Communism are devised with intention of something good hapening to mankind. But inherent quality of dishonesty, misappropriation and exploitation by powerful , of those who are less able, will never make either of these systems workable.

Mind you these qualities are and will always remain on paper and they can not be expected from the people who are and who can make difference. You may perhaps change the systems form Capitalist to Communist, but what about the human mind, which has unlimited greed for money and lust for power !

(Continued........)

Sunday, September 7, 2008

My Introduction

Writing is my passion and i have been into this hobby since i was very young. I always liked expressing my mind on several subjects. It happened that what I felt happened many times. And I had expressed the same thing in quite advance. But since I had no proof, I merely used to say that " I told You" like tunes.

But one day I came accros the idea of starting my own blog. Where I could express my mind and let the others who are interested enough to feel my way, can come and share their feelings. I have received a good response. Those who read my blogs, have put up comments, some of agrreing with me, some disagreeing. But i have published them all, without any bias and I would continue to do so.

I appeal to all those who visit my blog, to write their comments on my blog, which I promise not to modify (if presented in decent language). There is another section which will get started very soon about the stories which I had written when I was very young. All those small and long stories need to be typed and stored up in the computer before they all get published on this blog.

Keep visiting and keep commenting on all write ups.

Bye Bye.

Ajay Mehta

Saturday, August 23, 2008

Future of Kashmir.....!!!!

The Amarnath Shrine Board land controversy has taken a turn where the dormant separatists movement in Kashmir is given a new lease of life. The Congress Govt at the centre and Govt of J & K, especially Mr. Vora, the Governor of J & K, must take blame for this most unfortunate turn of events. The separatist movement which had died down slowly, has suddenly got a new lease of life, due to lack of knowledge in ground realities and ignorance about the local people’s political aspirations of top political leaders of this country. Here there is no particular party or ideology to blame but the entire Indian Political leadership is without any direction. There is absolute lack of imagination about the political solution to J & K problem.


We understand that the politicians are just the representative of Indian masses, who come and go at the end of every five years. They are pretty busy in their primary task of making money as it is supposedly their best time to make money for them and their family. Hey are not sure about their return to this of their position after the 5 years. So the national issues are of secondary issues, primary being making money by any means. So one is not surprised about their ignorance and lack of imagination on the core problem of J & K.


But we are unable to understand what has happened to those civil servants who are most educated and learned. They have the brain and ability to understand the actual problem and advise the Govt in power to take appropriate measures. The political class of this country is completely out of date and out of time with out of mind. But here the entire IAS officials who actually rule the country from behind the screen seems to have also lost the willingness to perform. These people are highly intelligent and motivated, as their studies and their syllabus demand such an aptitude from them, are seems to have hand in glove with the present politicians and are also making money for their generations to come. Their role in this regard must come under scanner. It is they who actually decide the present & future of our country.


It is these officials who actually advise the Indian leaders. Since they are the most educated lot in the corridors of the power, they must take the equal blame for the policy failure on J & K. It will be time when these officials and the politicians will have to give answers to future generations of India. As these people are proclaimed and unchallenged kings of Indian democracy (mobocracy).

The Hurriyat Conference has received a sudden boost to its image as a party who will liberate Kashmir from Indian clutches. (?) These Kashmiris are asking for freedom from Indian rule in Kashmir.


They need to give clear answers to following questions before they talk of freedom.


Whom do we give freedom to? Whom do we talk about the freedom with?


Is Hurriyat Conference their true representative?


Does this Hurriyat Conference has its acceptance beyond Srinagar?


Have these people in Valley ensured that Pakistan will also give freedom to Pakistan Occupied Kashmir (POK)?


Who will pay back for all these years of aid given to Kashmir’s development & its security, incurred after the independence?


Who will pay for the plight Kashmiri Pandits, who were driven out of their homes in Kashmir? Was not this ethnic cleansing In Kashmir? Who will be held responsible for their killing, looting of their properties in Kashmir?


Hurriyat Conference (HC) is behaving like of spoiled child. Who keeps on crying for more and more, like a spoiled child keeps his parents always on toes! Their demand has nothing to do with the Kashmir people’s aspirations. It is they themselves, who want to win the elections going to be held in the next 6 months or so. They are trying to win the sympathy and attention of people of Kashmir, which could win them elections and get into the J & k Assembly.


Their plan of actions does not end there. They want every Indian Govt at centre on their knees. They will get a stage where they can speak anything they want, once they are in the Assembly, as people’s representative. They can pressurize any Govt at Centre and get their work done. It is urgently required that how much property they have amassed during their political career must be disclosed to the people of J & K.


The HC leaders are hitting on the face of these idiot leaders who have no daring to say to HC that they are wrong. They fear that they could loose the Muslim votes in their constituency. HC will continue to say everything which is anti-India, anti-Hindu. They will not respect our Constitution and our principle to Rule of Law. If this had been USA or Israel, HC would have had already been dissolved and its members missing in the world population, with all of them trying to hide their original identity, as such of their act must be construed and will be construed by these Governments as a war against a nation.


They are throwing insults after insults to our self-respect and our motherland. In this highly charged atmosphere, the people of Jammu are doing a great service to our nation. They are fighting highly pampered and completely rotten leadership led by HC. What the entire nation should have done unitedly, is being done by the Jammu residents with their agitation to get back the land earmarked for the Amarnath Shrine. It is deeply felt that why these Muslims of Kashmir are pampered and for what? They must stay as a equal citizen of India and enjoy all rights and enjoy privileges and also fulfill their duty as citizen of Indian Union.


It is so pity that we have no other option but to wait and watch for our own destruction by these handful people who belong to Congress, BSP, SP, PF in Kashmir, Hurriyant Conference & BJP. They have all unitedly ruined this wonderful nation and they will be asked questions by future generations as to what and how they served the Indian nation.

The present situation in Kashmir & Jammu may be very dangerous. It is more likely that prolonged agitation for separation from Indian Union could worsen the political stability gained in last few years. If this happens, which seems more likely now, the President's rule could be imposed for the coming few months and subsequently the Assembly elections could be postponed. The terrorist activities could gain momentum as never before with the support of local and foreign terrorists. They will give our security forces one of the toughest-ever fight. Much melodrama over Kashmir and its freedom could unfold, and perhaps more blood could be shed on streets and outskirts of Srinagar. As it has happened in past, Pakistan will be willing to jump into the turmoil and support separatists. Hence the scenario will worsen further for Indian Security Forces.



Speaking on Political front, with the elections around in next six months, all parties are trying to win the popularity and hence win elections. Becoming a J & K Chief Minister, you can challenge the Indian Prime Minister without the fear of being sacked from the office by New Delhi. Secondly you have command over immense Central Govt aid on all the developmental projects of this State. Tax-payers’ money get wasted on people who do not think that they are part of this country!

But this time around lady luck is smiling on India. We are confident that the politicians have no capacity to understand and solve the problem as such, we have to look around for the possible fate of this agitation and how it could turn India’s way.


While that the General Elections round the corner in the beginning of the year 2009, Congress Govt at the Centre can not afford to go to elections looking so bad in J & K. In such a scenario, it could only help BJP. Because with every passing day common man could think that this Govt has ruined everything what the predecessor Govt had left behind. All achievements of previous Govt raped very badly by UPA Govt. So it is a one way ticket for Congress, to be out of the Govt, if the J & K situation does not improve or at least the people of this country are not enough satisfied that the UPA Govt has done everything to control J & k situation. (remember, the situation was worsened by Congress only)

Hence the SMS (Sardar Manmohan Singh !) Govt will wait till the situation worsens in Kashmir for the good, for claiming to have been working very hard to control secessionists in Kashmir.


This sounds a story or script of a Hindi film, but much of the said things will not change.

As said earlier this time around the lady-luck is smiling on India. Biggest enemy, Pakistan itself is in deep trouble. With democracy starting to rule the Pakistan and army in Pakistan getting perhaps the first ever direct drubbing in form of President Musharaff resigning from the office. It has some way or the other strengthened the hands of democracy in Pakistan. With Nawaz Sharif out of the coalition government, Pakistan could be asking for trouble in form of political instability.


Afghanistan on the other hand had been targeting Pakistan for the terrorist attacks on its soil and Pakistan does not have many friends in Europe either. The Middle East countries will not cross swords with USA and its allies. They know what happened to Saddam Hussein; can happen to them and their country. So Pakistan is isolated at the moment. Besides every country on the earth know what the intentions are of Pakistanis. So this is the time which is much different than it was when the operation TOPAC was initiated around 1985-86.


Already the debate in Pakistan is on and they are pondering over how they have reached a stage of being called a failed State, while India, who got the freedom at the same time, is thriving to be a prospective super power and prospective economic power house. The learned friends of Pakistan are asking question to their leaders as to what went wrong with Pakistan? It is simple as it is, that you get what you saw as seed. They planted terrorists, bombs, killings, deaths, instability and interference in neighboring countries, clandestine theft of technology related with nuclear weapons, they are getting the same thing in return or they will get the same thing in return. If this realization has really dawned on Pakistanis, it is still not late, and for good cause it is never late, and better be late than never.

So what happens in Kashmir now?


The security forces may clamp curfew for few days at a stretch. There may be some forceful and heavy handed police and military actions, some terror incidents might spread to Jammu or even the entire country. This will go on for few months, may be more than 2 months. But then everything will return to normalcy and everything will be back on track, except the feeling that they are being ruled forcefully by the India.


It is here the Kashmiri people must get practical. First is, India will never give up Kashmir. Secondly, no partition is NOW possible for any State of Union Of India.


India will not give and can not afford to give up anything on Kashmir. Any Govt. even thinking of giving concessions could face wrath and unimagined opposition of Indian masses. Years of turmoil and damages in form of property and death to its security forces, ethnic cleansing of Kashmiri Pandits and their still unresolved issues, terror attacks through out India, have strengthened the will of every Indian, that not even a millimeter of land of India cannot be negotiated. Hence they Kashmiri people must now realize that they are better of with India, as there is no second option to this.


If that is the situation, another partition could prove to be more devastating than the first one and more fatal than even a nuclear bomb explosion. The misery and death it could unleash in the subcontinent, is beyond anybody’s imagination.


So better get back to negotiation table and they must talk their problems and difficulties with the authorities and their rightful representatives. Every problem has solution and can be attained with talking to each other. You can not ask for negotiators’ head for negotiating with you. Kashmiri people must respect Indian Constitution and speak in conciliatory language. They are lucky to have Article 370 to look after their well-being. They should speak to the Indian Govt about their aspiration and try to fulfill such aspirations staying within the Indian Constitutional frame work. Otherwise it could happen that under tremendous public pressure Union Govt might be even forced to repeal the Article 370. So better start talking.


Indian culture and its history is one of that forgetting and forgiving. Hinduism believes in LIVE & LET LIVE, and that is the Indian philosophy. That is perhaps the reason for to Kashmiri people must understand that they are now short of sympathy and not as hot a topic on the world scene today as it was few years back. As truth is after all a truth.


So have a break nothing will happen to our Kashmir. let the people of Jammu settle some score in between.


Tuesday, August 19, 2008

MAN CAN NOW DISAPPEAR !!!!

Recent invention by the Japanese scientists have put the entire mankind one step nearer to its dream of getting invisible at his wish. That's a good invention but it will not help man kind for its development and well being. It can be used for destructive and criminal purposes more if not for well being of man kind. These were the views as expressed by the media and experts on these subjects.

It could happen that the entire company of police force is raised, who will dress the uniform made from this particular fibre made with nano technology and could stay present at the site of crime itself. By that way we can control the crime itself. (Something similar what we had seen in the film MINORITY REPORT.)

The Japan & USA are said to be spearheading this invention and they will definitely use it for their own interest. If this happens, they will perhaps target all those nations, leaders and people, who oppose them on any reason. The rising clout of the Russians in Balkan countries, adamant Iran, invincible Al Qaida, mischievous North Korea, competing China, will all be brought under control. (there is no question of using such technology to tame India as it is already on its knees.) They might have one of the most powerful armies of the future, with battalions which can just go invisible and can bring sweet victories for them.

Such an imagination is very dangerous as well as full of ifs and buts. But the point here is not its uses and misuses. The point is man has developed a technology which was some way or the other was used by our devine people, GOD themselves. We know that Lord Ganesha, Lord Shiv and many more had the capacity to just go invisible at their wish, a very primitive version of the technology just developed by the Japanese scientists.

What I am trying to express is the thought that our Gods were / are supposedly aliens. They did came to us when the humans were in very primitive stages. What they were able to do, in ancient times, we are very close to doing the same, now. When we reach to an advanced stage we might just stay in small hut, on river banks with peace of mind and ease, though we might have all the worldly things to make us connected with all others and make us believe that we own everything. It would be funny to imagine Lord Rama, for example, buying shares at the stock exchange of their own planets, if they are to be aliens as one would tend to believe.

There is another unexplained link to this. The Bermuda Triangle. Experts believe that this particular area might be used by the aliens as a entrance into time machine, sort of canal, where they come back to time and reach earth and go back to future, from where they might have come. So slowly and logically we are perhaps started to imagine a connection between aliens and God as we believe him as to be. (Remember: This is just an imagination.)

Through this time machine they may come and go through the time. The imagination is perfect. As this is perhaps the fastest mode of transportation available to our imagination. As our mind can travel at a phenomenal speed, that nothing in this Universe is possible to match.

As written previously, there are plenty of reasons to believe that the Gods must have been superior types of present human species. All the capabilities of God as described in religious literature are proving to be achievable in complete or incomplete state, slowly and steadily. They might look very primitive at the moment but they are the first step towards achieving such an advanced stage in the coming few years, if not decades, which the most advanced aliens used while the present human race was in stone age.

Keep watching many more things to come.