Friday, June 20, 2008

This Nuclear Deal With USA

This is one of the issue on which Mr. P.M. is under tremendous pressure. Though he has had dared Left front once to withdraw support, but nothing more than that. The 123 Agreement was singed by the Indian Govt. & Bush Administration in June 2005. But since then the Govt has been facing bricks & bats for this. It is something which is very weird that Indian Democratic set up does not allow the public opinion to be taken into consideration while entering into any international agreements, unlike USA. The Indians have to accept what their Govt is doing and treading once they have voted the party to the power.

It is rightly felt that the political parties do not want interference from the public opinion, once elected to power and that is one of the major reason that democracy has not gone down well. There are many loopholes that need to be rectified.

Coming back to the Nuclear deal between USA and India, the Left is wrong because it has only two point agenda of opposing and it must do every trick in the book to stop USA from coming closer to India. It might have few good experts who might have studied the deal itself, and perhaps they are also convinced that the deal is good for India, since they have not mentioned their opposition to any technical aspect of the deal. But the only point of opposition to the deal for the Left is, it is with USA.

But I think we should not trust these Left people who are dependent for all of their ideology on China. Even the Chinese themselves are confused about what they should call themselves, communists or capitalist- communists. But these Left front people are short of their vision and ideas in the changed environment. They are lost as the Chinese ideology of communist policies where the State is supreme and looks after the equal distribution of wealth amongst its nationals. The reality is something different.

Coming back to deal, the Indian Govt is equally culprit in the entire deal. It had to clarify under rising pressure that India has freedom to experiment with the nuclear explosions/implosions. While the USA has refused to say so publicly, may it has its own political limitations. There are so many arguments in favour and against the deal.

One of such information caught my eyes was, the Planning Commission, predicted that India with the help of this deal, if at all, generates power, it will be just 5% of the total needs that could arise by 2050. But then what about the 95% ? May be the figures ought to be manipulated, but then it was clear that the deal will not be able to fulfill Indian energy needs completely and some other source of energy will have to be analysed, too.

Besides, the deal will make the doors open for the power plant and related material making corporates as they will have business of thousands of crores of rupees. Now that is another point that India will import the Uranium, required for power plants as fuel, will completely imported from Nuclear Material Suppliers Group, which follows US dictum, it could take another minimum of 5 years to build those power plants that also after the deal is signed. (Energy requirements might have been taken into consideration this aspect also.)


So with the deal, we will have imported plants for our energy requirements, we have imported fuel to run the imported nuclear power plants and we also have a infinitely anxious supply of Uranium for these imported power plants, lest it could stop in course of exercising our sovereign right to do so. (Like exploding/ imploding, some nuclear device).

This sounds ridiculous. The top experts of this nation might have had considered everything from top to bottom. But the Indian Govt will have to address these issues before it goes for signing. The entire West is interested in India signing the deal with the USA. As they could not force India to sign the CTBT or NPT. By this deal is India entering into a deal with USA, as it might have had entered into the deal with these two world treaties !!! Perhaps these aspects should not be undermined by the Indian Govt while signing the deal with USA.

Considering these facts, the deal is going to be little more costlier than it is considered it as of now, not only money wise, but in all its aspects, nuclear energy is not free from its inherent dangers. India perhaps has no policy to dump the nuclear waste, the place which is highly intoxicating and very dangerous and even the West has no proper solutions to it.

There is one more aspect to it. It is utilizing the Fast Breeder Reactors which run on Thorium. Thorium is found in aplenty in Kerala and other south Indian States. It is beyond my comprehension that why the Govt. or the experts who are ready to spend billions of rupees on imported power plants are no willing to spend on enhancing the technology in this area. We have already few reactors working on it. But the people argue that it is not viable for India at the moment as it will require huge investments and the results are unpredictable and returns uncertain.

I think the solution lies in non-conventional means of energy. Like Sun, Sea waves, wind farms. Which are less expensive and not dangerous at all. We have always thought of large farm where photocells are installed when we talk of solar energy. But why small societies of Mumbai are not encouraged to install some cell over their terrace, so that they at least generate power for their elevators and passage lights. Think if all the buildings of the world install a small windmill or solar panel, who generate power for their requirements, we could generate good amount of power, which not require installation of power lines and other infrastructural costs.

All the big problems needs to be divided into number of smaller solutions. Govt in India needs to encourage the local bodies to give encouragements to such societies & buildings, which if installed will reduce the demand of electricity to some extent. Reducing demand is producing extra electricity !

May be some initiation is required. Deal is a big thing to comprehend, but this small idea is easy to understand and digest.

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